Dinámica de la variabilidad atmosférica sobre Sudamérica – DIVAR –
El objetivo general del grupo DIVAR es aumentar el conocimiento sobre la variabilidad y cambio del clima en Sudamérica para desarrollar nuevas herramientas de predicción del clima regional y de sus impactos, abarcando las escalas semanales, mensuales, anuales y decadales.
En particular, el grupo se concentra en investigar las fuentes de variabilidad climática en escala intraestacionales, estacionales, interanuales y multi-decadales a través de los principales modos de variabilidad climática de gran escala asociados (ej. ENSO, SAM; IOD, MJO, PDO, etc.).
Los estudios utilizan tanto datos de reanálisis como salidas de modelos tipo CMIP, o predicciones en escalas subestacionales y más largas. El grupo además se concentra en desarrollar herramientas innovadoras de monitoreo y pronóstico climático para que a futuro sean operadas por el Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Por último, el grupo lleva adelante estrategias de co-producción de información meteorológica y climática junto a investigadores de ciencias sociales y actores sectoriales del ámbito agropecuario y de emergencia.
El grupo DIVAR (Dinámica de la Variabilidad atmosférica sobre Sudamérica) realiza sus investigaciones y desarrollos en el CIMA y UMI-IFAECI.
Investigador responsable: Federico Robledo, Marisol Osman, Leandro Díaz, Carolina Vera
Miembros: Luciano Gustavo Andrian; Leandro Baltasar Díaz; Nahuel Gómez; Marisol Osman; Dalia Virginia Panza; Camila Prudente; Federico A. Robledo; Carolina S. Vera
Colaboradores: Elio Campitelli, Julia Mindlin
| Año | Nombre del proyecto | Resumen |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Atribución y predicción en escala multi-anual de cambios recientes en la precipitación media y extrema del Sur de Sudamérica. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2022 | Detección y atribución de cambios climáticos recientes de impacto en el sur de Sudamérica. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2022 | Sistema de Alerta Temprana centrado en la población en Municipio de La Matanza. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2021 | Deep learning meets biodiversity: un veiling the microbiome of a mega-river. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2021 | Evaluación, predictibilidad y predicción de la influencia combinada de patrones climáticos de gran escala para el desarrollo de eventos climáticos de impacto en la cuenca del Río Paraguay. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2021 | Red de información meteorológica Ministerio de Desarrollo Agrícola. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2020 | Aplicación de pronósticos climáticos al manejo del riesgo agropecuario . | [Ver PDF] |
| 2020 | Impacto de la dinámica del Modo Anular del Sur y su acción conjunta con otros patrones climáticos de gran escala en el clima de Sudamérica y su predictibilidad. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2020 | Socioecosistema fluvial Paraná-Paraguay: estudio argentino en el escenario de cambios globales. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2018 | Anticipando la crecida”: Pensando el pronóstico del tiempo como una construcción social para colaborar en la gestión de riesgos ante inundaciones. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2018 | Interacciones entre patrones climáticos de gran escala y su impacto en el sur de Sudamérica. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2016 | CLIMAX: Climate Services Through Knowledge Co-Production: A Euro-South American Initiative for Strengthening Societal Adaptation Response To Extreme Events. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2015 | Monitoreo y pronóstico climático para la prevención de desastres hídricos en Argentina (CLIMAR). | [Ver PDF] |
| 2014 | Estudio de las variaciones climáticas observadas en la Pampa Húmeda durante los siglos 20 y 21 y desarrollo de su proyección para las próximas décadas. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2009 | Sobre los procesos que intervienen en los cambios proyectados de la precipitación estival en la Cuenca del Plata por efecto de las actividades humanas. | [Ver PDF] |
| 2006 | Influencias Locales y Remotas en la Variabilidad de la Precipitación Estival en la Cuenca del Plata y sus Impactos Hidrológicos. |
- Testani, N.; Cappelletti, L. M.; Díaz, L. B.; Prudente, C.; Rabanal, V.; Mindlin, J.; Börner, R.; Divya, D. T.; Diallo, I.; Leyba, I. M.; Osman, M.; Tangarife-Escobar, A. (2025). Balancing Earth science careers in an unequal world. Communications Earth & Environment, Vol. 6 [Ver]
- Andrian, L.G.; Osman, M.; Vera, C.S. (2024). The role of the Indian Ocean Dipole in modulating the austral spring ENSO teleconnection to the Southern Hemisphere. Weather and Climate Dynamics , Vol. 5 [Ver]
- Fossa Riglos, M.F.; Díaz, L.B.; Hernández, V.; Sörensson, A.A.; Osman, M.; Rivera, J.; Robledo, F.A.; Prudente, C. (2024). Climate storylines as a tool for interdisciplinary dialogue on risk decision-making: Analyzing a severe drought in southeastern South America. Environmental Science & Policy, Vol. 160
- le Polain de Waroux, Y.; Carignan, M. C.; del Giorgio, O.; Díaz, L.; Enrico, L.; Jaureguiberry, P.; Lipoma, M. L.; Mazzini, F.; Díaz, S. (2024). How do we study resilience? A systematic review. People And Nature, Vol. 6 (2) [Ver]
- Mindlin, J.; Vera, C.S.; Shepherd, T.G.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Gonzalez-Reviriego, N.; Osman, M.; Terrado, M. (2024). Assessment of plausible changes in Climatic Impact-Drivers relevant for the viticulture sector: A storyline approach with a climate service perspective. Climate Services, Vol. 34 [Ver]
- Mockert, F.; Grams, C.M.; Lerch, S.; Osman, M.; Quinting, J. (2024). Multivariate post-processing of probabilistic sub-seasonal weather regime forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 150 (764) [Ver]
- Rashid, I.U.; Abid, M.A.; Osman, M. et al. (2024). Predictability of the early summer surface air temperature over Western South Asia. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 62 [Ver]
- Spaeth, J.; Rupp, P.; Osman, M.; Grams, C. M.; Birner, T. (2024). Flow-dependence of ensemble spread of subseasonal forecasts explored via North Atlantic-European weather regimes. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 51 (14) [Ver]
- Testani, N.; Robledo, F.; Diaz, L. (2024). Climatology and trends of cloudiness in a productive rice and vegetable region of South-Eastern South America. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 44(5) [Ver]
- Mindlin, J.; Vera, C. S.; Shepherd, T.G.; Osman, M. (2023). Plausible Drying and Wetting Scenarios for Summer in Southeastern South America. Journal of Climate , Vol. 33 (22) [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Domeisen, D.; Robertson, A.; Weisheimer, A. (2023). Sub-seasonal to decadal predictions in support of climate services. Climate Services, Vol. 30 [Ver]
- Thomasz, E.O.; Corfield, K.; Vilker, A.S.; Osman, M. (2023). Forecasting soybean production to enhance climate services for Agriculture in Argentina. Climate Services, Vol. 30 [Ver]
- Andrian, L. G.; Osman, M.; Vera, C. S. (2022). Climate predictability on seasonal timescales over South America from the NMME models. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 60 [Ver]
- Campitelli, E.; Díaz, L.B.; Vera, C. (2022). Assessment of zonally symmetric and asymmetric components of the Southern Annular Mode using a novel approach. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 58 nº1 [Ver]
- Compaire, J.C.; Montes, J.; Gonçalves, J.M.S.; Soriguer, M.C.; Erzini, K. (2022). Site fidelity of fish on a rocky intertidal in the south of Portugal. Journal of Sea Research, Vol. 183 [Ver]
- Echeverri García, L.P.; Daudén Bengoa, G.; Compaire, J.C.; Jiménez Rosenberg, S.P.A.; Pérez Brunius, P.; Ferreira Bartrina, V.; Herzka, S.Z. (2022). Variability of fish larvae assemblages relative to mesoscale features in the deep water region of the southern Gulf of Mexico.. Hydrobiologia (The International Journal of Aquatic Sciences, Vol. 849 [Ver]
- Hernández, V.; Riglos, F.; Vera, C. S. (2022). Addressing climate services in SouthAmerican Chaco region through a knowledge coproduction process. Global Environmental Change, Vol. 72 [Ver]
- Lawrence, Z.; Abalos, D.; Ayarzagüena, B.; Barriopedro, D.; Butler, A. H.; Calvo, N.; de la Cámara, A.; Charlton Perez, A.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Dunn-Sigouin, E.; García-Serrano, J.; Garfinkel, C. I.; Hindley, N. P.; Jia, L.; Jucker, M.; Karpechko, A. Y.; Kim, H.; Lang, A. L.; Lee, S. H.; Lin, P.; Osman, M.; Palmeiro, F. M.; Perlwitz, J.; Polichtchouk, I.; Richter, J. H.; Schwartz, C.; Son, S. W.; Statnaia, I.; Taguchi, M.; Tyrrell, N. L.; Wright, C. J.; Wu, R. W. Y. (2022). Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems. Weather and Climate Dynamics , Vol. 3 [Ver]
- Liverman, D.; Vera, C.; et al. (2022). Survey of gender bias in the IPCC. Nature, Vol. 602 [Ver]
- Luz Clara, M.; Alvarez, M.; Vera, C.; Simionato, C.G.; Jaureguizar, A. (2022). Relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies in the Southwestern Atlantic Continental Shelf and atmospheric variability on intraseasonal timescales. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 59 [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Shepherd, T.G.; Vera, C.S. (2022). The combined influence of the stratospheric polar vortex and ENSO on zonal asymmetries in the southern hemisphere upper tropospheric circulation during austral spring and summer. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 59 [Ver]
- Van Garderen, L.; Mindlin, J. (2022). A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America. Weather [Ver]
- Bodnariuk, N.; Simionato, C.; Saraceno, M.; Osman, M.; Diaz, L. (2021). Interannual Variability of the Latitude of Separation of the Brazil Current: Teleconnections and Oceanic Rossby Waves Propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 126, nº10 [Ver]
- Cavalcanti, I. F. A.; Barreto, N. J. C.; Alvarez, M. S.; Osman, M.; Coelho, C. A. S. (2021). Teleconnection patterns in the Southern Hemisphere represented by ECMWF and NCEP S2S project models and influences on South America precipitation .. Meteorological Applications , Vol. 28 [Ver]
- Díaz, L.; Saurral, R.; Vera, C. (2021). Assessment of South America Summer Rainfall Climatology and Trends in a Set of Global Climate Models Large Ensembles. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 41 [Ver]
- Griggs, D.; Stafford Smith, M.; Warrilow, D.; Street, R.; Vera, C.; Scobie, M.; Sokona, Y. (2021). Use of weather and climate information essential for SDG implementation. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, Vol. 2 [Ver]
- Mindlin, J.; Shepherd, T. G.; Vera, C.; Osman, M. (2021). Combined effects of global warming and ozone depletion/ recovery on Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and regional precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Coelho, C.A.S.; Vera, C.S. (2021). Calibration and combination of seasonal precipitation forecasts over South America using Ensemble Regression. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 57 [Ver]
- Ruscica, R. C.; Sörensson, A. A.; Diaz, L. B.; Vera, C.; Castro, A.; Papastefanou, P.; Rammig, A.; Rezende, L. F. C.; Sakschewski, B.; Thonicke, K.; Viovy, N.; von Randow, C. (2021). Evapotranspiration trends and variability in southeastern South America: The roles of land-cover change and precipitation variability. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Alvarez, M. S.; Coelho, C.A.S.; Osman, M.; Firpo, M.; Vera, C.S. (2020). Assessment of ECMWF Subseasonal Temperature Predictions for an Anomalously Cold Week Followed by an Anomalously Warm Week in Central and Southeastern South America during July 2017. Weather and Forecasting [Ver]
- Bracegirdle, T.J.; Holmes, C.R.; Hosking, J.S.; Marshall, G.J.; Osman, M.; Patterson, M.; Rackow, T. (2020). Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5. Earth and Space Science [Ver]
- Cai, W.; McPhaden, M.; Grimm, A.; Rodrigues, G.; Taschetto, A.; Garreaud, R.; Dewitte, B.; Poveda, B.; Ham, Y.G.; Santoso, A.; Ng, B.; Anderson, W.; Wang, G.; Geng, T.; Jo, H.S.; Marengo, J.; Alves, L.; Osman, M.; Li, S.; Wu, L.; Karamperidou, C.; Takahashi, K.; Vera, C. (2020). Climate impacts of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on South America. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment [Ver]
- Díaz, L. B.; Saurral, R. I. ; Vera, C.S. (2020). Assessment of South America summer rainfall climatology and trends in a set of global climate models large ensembles. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Franco, B. C.; Defeo, O.; Piola, A.R.; Barreiro, M.; Yang, H.; Ortega, L.; Gianelli, I.; Castello, J.P. ; Vera, C.; Buratti, C.; Pajaro, M.; Pezzi, L. P. ; Möller, O. O. (2020). Climate change impacts on the atmospheric circulation, ocean, and fisheries in the southwest South Atlantic Ocean: a review. Climatic Change [Ver]
- Iturbide, M.; Vera, C.; et al. (2020). An update of IPCC climate reference regions for subcontinental analysis of climate model data: definition and aggregated datasets. Earth System Science Data, Vol. 12 [Ver]
- Merryfield, W.; Alvarez, M.; Diaz, L.; et all. (2020). Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) [Ver]
- Mindlin, J.; Shepherd, T.G. ; Vera, C.S. ; Osman, M.; Zappa, G.; Lee, R.W.; Hodges, K.I. (2020). Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Vera, C.S. (2020). Predictability of Extratropical Upper-Tropospheric Circulation in the Southern Hemisphere by Its Main Modes of Variability.. Journal of Climate [Ver]
- Robledo, F.; Vera, C.; Penalba, O. (2020). Multi-scale features of the co-variability between global sea surface temperature anomalies and daily extreme rainfall in Argentina. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Saurral, R.I.; García-Serrano, J.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Díaz, L.B.; Vera, C.S. (2020). Decadal predictability and prediction skill of sea surface temperatures in the South Pacific region. Climate Dynamics [Ver]
- Alvarez, M.S.; Cerne, B.; Osman, M.; Vera, C.S. (2019). Intraseasonal and low frequency processes contributing to the December 2013 heat wave in Southern South America.. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 53 [Ver]
- Bojovic, D.; Bilbao, R.; Díaz, L. B.; Donat, M.; Ortega, P.; Ruprich-Robert, Y.; Solaraju-Murali,B.; Terrado, M.; Verfaillie, D.; Doblas-Reyes, F. (2019). The Biggest Unknowns Related to Decadal Prediction: What 50 Experts Think Are the 5 Major Knowledge Gaps. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 100 [Ver]
- Gatti, I.; Robledo, F.; Hurtado, S.; Canneva, J.; Moreira, D.; Re, M.; Briche, E.; Falco, M.; Kazimierscki, L.; Micou, A. (2019). Anticipating the Flood. Community-based cartography for disaster flood events in Argentina. Proceedings of the ICA (International Cartographic Associati, Vol. 2 [Ver]
- Langendijk, G. S.; Aubry-Wake, C.; Osman, M.; Gulizia, C.; Attig-Bahar, F.; Behrens, E.; Bertoncini, A.; Hart, N.; Indasi, V. S.; Innocenti, S.; van der Linden, E. C.; Mamnun, N.; Rasouli, K.; Reed, K. A.; Ridder, N.; Rivera, J.; Ruscica, R.; Ukazu, B. U.; Walawender, J. P.; Walker, D. P.; Woodhams, B. J.; Yilmaz, Y. A. (2019). Three Ways Forward to Improve Regional Information for Extreme Events. Frontiers in Environmental Science, Vol. 7 [Ver]
- Vera, C.S.; Díaz, L.B. ; Saurral, R.I. (2019). Influence of Anthropogenically-Forced Global Warming and Natural Climate Variability in the Rainfall Changes Observed Over the South American Altiplano. Frontiers in Environmental Science, Vol. 7 [Ver]
- Díaz, L.; Vera, C.S. (2018). South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 38 [Ver]
- Elisio, M.; Vera, C.S.; Miranda, L. (2018). Influences of ENSO and PDO phenomena on the local climate variability can drive extreme temperature and depth conditions in a Pampean shallow lake affecting fish communities. Environmental Biology Fish, Vol. 101 [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Alvarez, M.S. (2018). Subseasonal prediction of the heat wave of December 2013 in Southern South America by the POAMA and BCC-CPS models. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 50 [Ver]
- Pérez, I.; Dragani, W.; Saucedo, M.; Godoy, A.; Cerne, B.; Martín, P. (2018). Intraseasonal and low frequency processes contributing to the December 2013 heat wave in Southern South America. Meteorológica [Ver]
- Vera, C.S. (2018). Farmers transformed how we investigate climate.. Nature, Vol. 562 (7725) [Ver]
- Vera, C.S.; Alvarez, M.S.; Gonzalez ,P.L.M.; Liebmann, B.; Kiladis, G. N. (2018). Seasonal cycle of precipitation variability in South America on intraseasonal timescales. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 51 [Ver]
- Vera, C.S.; Osman, M. (2018). Activity of the Southern Annular Mode during 2015–2016 El Niño event and its impact on Southern Hemisphere climate anomalies. International Journal of Climatology [Ver]
- Alvarez, M. S.; Vera, C. S.; Kiladis, G. N. (2017). MJO modulating the activity of the leading mode of intraseasonal variability in South America. Atmosphere, Vol. 8 [Ver]
- Díaz, L.B.; Vera, C.S. (2017). Austral summer precipitation interannual variability and trends over Southeastern South America in CMIP5 models. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 37 [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Vera, C.S. (2017). Climate Predictability and prediction skill on seasonal time scales over South America from CHFP models. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 49 [Ver]
- Otero, F.; Cerne, B.; Campetella, C. (2017). Estudio preliminar del a velocidad del viento en San Julián en referencia a la generación de energía eólica. Meteorológica, Vol. 42 (2) [Ver]
- Spennemann, P.C.; Rivera, J.A.; Osman, M.; Saulo, A.C.; Penalba, O.C. (2017). Assessment of seasonal soil moisture forecasts over Southern South America with emphasis on dry and wet events. Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 8 (18) [Ver]
- Tompkins, A.M.; Ortiz De Zárate, M.I.; Saurral, R.I.; Vera, C.; Saulo, C.; Merryfield, W.J.; Sigmond, M.; Lee, W.; Baehr, J.; Braun, A.; Butler, A.; Déqué, M.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Gordon, M.; Scaife, A.A.; Imada, Y.; Ishii, M.; Ose, T.; Kirtman, B.; Kumar, A.; Müller, W.A.; Pirani, A.; Stockdale, T.; Rixen, M.; Yasuda, T. (2017). The Climate-System Historical Forecast Project: Providing Open Access to Seasonal Forecast Ensembles from Centers around the Globe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 98 [Ver]
- Alvarez, M.S.; Vera, C.S.; Kiladis, G.N.; Liebmann, B. (2016). Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation on precipitation and surface air temperature in South America. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 46 (1-2), [Ver]
- Carril, A. F.; Cavalcanti, I. F. A.; Menéndez, C. G.; Sörensson, A.; López-Franca, N.; Rivera, J. A.; Robledo, F.; Zaninelli, P. G.; Ambrizzi, T.; Penalba, O. C.; da Rocha, R. P.; Sánchez, E.; Bettolli, M. L.; Pessacg, N.; Renom, M.; Ruscica, R.; Solman, S.; Tencer, B.; Grimm, A.; Rusticucci, M.; Cherchi, A.; Tedeschi, R.; Zamboni, L. (2016). Extreme events in La Plata basin: A retrospective analysis of what we have learned during CLARIS-LPB project. Climate Research, Vol. 68 (2) [Ver]
- Jacques-Coper, M.; Brönnimann, S.; Martius, O.; Vera, C.; Cerne, S.B. (2016). Summer heat waves in southeastern Patagonia: an analysis of the intraseasonal timescale. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Junquas, C.; Li, L.; Vera, C.; Le Treut, H.; Takahashi, K. (2016). Influence of South America orography on summertime precipitation in Southeastern South America.. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 46 (11-12) [Ver]
- Osman, M.; Vera, C. S.; Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2016). Predictability of the tropospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere from CHFP models. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 46 (7) [Ver]
- Rauser, F.; Alqadi, M.; Arowolo, S.; Baker, N.; Behrens, E.; Bedard, J.; Dogulu, N.; Gatti Domingues, L.; Frassoni, A.; Keller, J.; Kirkpatrick, S.; Langendijk, G.; Mohammad, S.; Mirsafa, M.; Kristin Naumann, A.; Osman, M.; Reed, K.; Greilinger, M.; Schemann, V.; Singh, A.; Sonntag, S.; Tummon, F.; Victor Nnamdi, D.; Villafuerte, M.Q.; Walawender, J.P.; Zaroug, M. (2016). Earth System Science Frontiers - an ECS perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 98 (6) [Ver]
- Robledo, F.; Vera, C.; Penalba, O. (2016). Influence of the large-scale climate variability on daily rainfall extremes over Argentina. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Arias, P.A.; Fu, R.; Vera, C.; Rojas, M. (2015). A correlated shortening of the North and South American monsoon seasons in the past few decades. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 45 (11-12) [Ver]
- Cavalcanti, I.; Carril, A.F.; Penalba, O.C.; Grimm, A.M.; Menéndez, C.; Sanchez, E.; Cherchi, A.; Sörensson,A.; Robledo, F.; Rivera, J.; Pantano, V.; Bettolli, M.L.; Zaninelli, P.; Zamboni, L.; Tedeschi, R.G.; Dominguez, M.; Ruscica, R.; Flach, R. (2015). Precipitation extremes over La Plata Basin -Review and new results from observations and climate simulations. Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 523 [Ver]
- Hannart, A.; Vera, C.; Cerne, B.; Otto, F. E. L. (2015). Causal influence of anthropogenic forcings on the Argentinian heat wave of December 2013. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 96 (12) [Ver]
- Jacques-Coper, M.; Brönnimann, S.; Martius, O.; Vera, C.S.; Cerne, S.B. (2015). Evidence for a modulation of the intraseasonal summer temperature in Eastern Patagonia by the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 120(15) [Ver]
- Pepler, A.S.; Díaz, L.B.; Prodhomme, C.; Doblas-Reyes, F.J.; Kumar, A. (2015). The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes.. Weather and Climate Extremes Journal, Vol. 9 [Ver]
- Vera, C.S.; Díaz, L. (2015). Anthropogenic influence on summer precipitation trends over South America in CMIP5 models. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 35 (10) [Ver]
- Alvarez, M.; Vera, C.; Kiladis, G.; Liebmann, B. (2014). Intraseasonal Variability in South America during the Cold Season. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 42 [Ver]
- González, P.; Vera, C. (2014). Summer precipitation variability over South America on long and short intraseasonal timescales. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 43 [Ver]
- Junquas, C.; Vera, C.S.; Li, L.; Le Treut, H. (2013). Impact of SST changes projected in a global warming scenario on summer rainfall in southeastern South America. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 40 [Ver]
- Carril, A. F.; Menéndez, C. G.; Remedio, A. R. C.; Robledo, F.; Sörensson, A.; Tencer, B.; Boulanger, J. P.; de Castro, M.; Jacob, D.; Le Treut, H.; Li, L. Z. X.; Penalba, O.; Pfeifer, S.; Rusticucci, M.; Salio, P.; Samuelsson, P.; Sanchez, E.; Zaninelli, P. (2012). Performance of a multi-RCM ensemble for South Eastern South America.. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 39 (12) [Ver]
- Goddard, L.; Hurrell, J.; Kirtman, B.; Murphy, J.; Stockdale, T.; Vera, C. (2012). Provision of Seasonal-to-Decadal Climate Information to Underpin Climate Services.. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS), Vol. 93 [Ver]
- Junquas, C.; Vera, C.S.; Li, L.; Le Treut, H. (2012). Summer Precipitation Variability over Southeastern South America in a Global Warming Scenario. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 38 [Ver]
- Marengo, J.A.; Liebmann, B.; Grimm, A.M.; Misra, V.; Silva Dias, P.L.; Cavalcanti, I.F.A.; Carvalho, L.M. V.; Berbery, E.H.; Ambrizzi, T.; Vera, C.S.; Saulo, A.C.; Nogues-Paegle, J.; Zipser, E.; Seth, A.; Alves, L.M. (2012). Recent developments on the South American monsoon system.. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 32 [Ver]
- Cerne, B.; Vera, C. (2011). Influence of the intraseasonal variability on heat waves in subtropical South America. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 36 [Ver]
- Liebmann, B.; Kiladis, G.; Allured, D.; Vera, C.; Jones, C.; Carvalho, L.M.V.; Blade, I.; González, P. (2011). Mechanisms associated with large daily precipitation events in Northeast Brazil. Journal of Climate , Vol. 24 [Ver]
- González, M.H.; Vera, C.S. (2010). On the interannual winter rainfall variability in Southern Andes. International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 30 [Ver]
- Vera, C.; Silvestri, G. (2009). Precipitation interannual variability in South America from the WCRP-CMIP3 Multi-model dataset.. Climate Dynamics, Vol. 32: 1003-1014 [Ver]