VI Convection-Permitting Climate Modeling Workshop

7-9 September 2022, C. A. Buenos Aires, Argentina

provisional - DETAILED PROGRAM

Schedule at local time (UTC -3)
Programme Book of Abstracts vi Convection-Permitting Climate Modelling Workshop

    Wednesday 7th



  • 08:30-09:00 WELCOME / REGISTRATION

  • 09:00-09:30 WELCOME AND INTRODUCTION R. Rasmussen - A. Prein, slides

  • 09:30-10:30: Discussion Panel 1 How can CPM modeling contribute to climate services in South America?

  • Chairs: Maria Laura Bettolli
    • Lorena Ferreira Climate services in Southern South America: the Argentine National Meteorological Service Perspective abstract slides
    • Matilde Rusticucci South America Climate Change Impacts and Risks. Results from IPCC AR6 WG2 abstract slides

  • 10:30-11:00 COFFEE BREAK

  • 11:00-12:30: Discussion Panel 2 Best practices in constructing regional climate change information

  • Chairs: Roy Rasmussen
    • Elizabeth Kendon Providing improved quantitative estimates of future changes in local weather extremes. abstract
    • Alex Hall What is the best dynamical downscaling method to project future regional climate change? abstract
    • Lai-yung Ruby Leung Storyline simulations for informing decision making abstract slides
    • Anna Sörensson Constructing regional climate information relevant for risk assessments and decision making: Insights from IPCC AR6 WGI abstract slides
    • Aiguo Dai Some issues in constructing large-scale forcing for climate downscaling abstract

  • 13:30-13:30 GROUP PICTURE

  • 12:30-13:30 LUNCH

  • 13:30-14:30: Discussion Panel 3 Data archive and access challenges

  • Chairs: Lluís Fita
    • Malcolm Roberts PRIMAVERA's use of the JASMIN super-data-cluster for the analysis of high-resolution multi-model climate datasets abstract
    • Philip Kershaw ESGF, a Globally Distributed Software Infrastructure to Address the Challenges of Data Management, Access and Analysis for High Volume Climate Model Data abstract
  • 14:30-15:00: Keynote 4 What can we learn from weather forecasting?

  • Chairs: Lluís Fita
    • Linda Schlemmer Kilometer-scale NWP: a challenge to glory abstract

  • 15:00-15:30 COFFEE BREAK

  • 15:30-16:30 Session 1 The added value of convection-permitting climate simulations

    Chairs: Andreas Prein
    • 15:30-15:45 Stefan Sobolowski, Erika Coppola and the FPSCONV team Highlight findings from the WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study on Convection over Europe and Mediterranean (FPSCONV) abstract slides
    • 15:45-16:00 Marcia T Zilli and Neil C. G. Hart Improvements in simulating tropical-extratropical cloud bands over South America by using convective-permitting models. abstract slides
    • 16:00-16:15 Jan Polcher Land surface processes on Convection-Permitting Climate Modelling abstract slides
    • 16:15-16:30 Ernani de Lima Nascimento Cold pools, mesohighs, and severe wind gusts: opportunities to assess the South American climatology of intense convectively-induced surface features with a convection-permitting regional climate simulation. abstract


  • 17:30-18:30 ICE BREAKER (IN VENUE HALL)


  • Thursday 8th



  • 09:00-10:30: Discussion Panel 5 What are unique topics that we have to simulate in CPM models that are not relevant in NWP

  • Chairs: Stefan P. Sobolowski
    • Bodo Ahrens Ocean-Atmosphere Regional Climate Modeling Systems: Pros and Cons abstract
    • Francina Dominguez The Importance of Water Below Ground in Convection Permitting Models for Climate Simulations abstract slides
    • Jhan Carlo Espinoza Modeling the impacts of Amazon deforestation on the Andes-Amazonas hydroclimatic connection abstract slides
    • Wojtek Gabowsky Daytime convective development over land: the role of surface forcing abstract slides
    • Jan Polcher Land and water usage: Humans create with their water usage contrasts at the surface which drive atmospheric processes at various scales abstract
    • Mariano Masiokas Recent glacier changes and their main climatic forcings across the Andes abstract slides

  • 10:30-11:00 COFFEE BREAK

  • 11:00-12:30 Session 2 South American high resolution modeling research activities

    Chairs: Alejandro Martínez
    • 11:00-11:15 Clémentine Junquas, M.B. Heredia, T. Condom, J.C. Ruiz-Hernandez, L. Campozano, J. Dudhia, J.C. Espinoza, M. Menegoz, A. Rabatel and J. E. Sicart Regional climate modeling of the diurnal cycle of precipitation over an equatorial Andean glacier region (Antizana, Ecuador) abstract slides
    • 11:15-11:30 Sebastián Gómez-Ríos, K. Santiago Hernández, Juan J. Henao, Vanessa Robledo, Alvaro Ramírez, Jimmy Flórez, Sara Lorduy, David Ortega and Angela M. Rendón Influence of regional processes in convection over an inter-Andean valley in Colombia abstract slides
    • 11:30-11:45 Milagros Alvarez Imaz, Paola Salio, María Eugenia Dillon, Lluís Fita and Diego Saúl Carrió Carrió Predictability of a supercell using convection-permitting ensemble simulations in Argentina abstract slides
    • 11:45-12:00 Chiara De Falco, Priscilla Mooney and Jerry Tjiputra The impact of convective permitting resolution in a coupled regional ocean-atmosphere model of the Eastern Tropical Pacific abstract
    • 12:00-12:15 Moira Doyle, Gonzalo Díaz, María Laura Bettolli, Silvina A. Solman, Laura Chavez, Rocío Balmaceda Huarte, Josefina Blazquez, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Marta Llopart and J. Milovac Impact of using precipitation from convection permitting models on the simulated Uruguay River streamflow abstract slides
    • 12:15-12:30 Lourdes Mendoza Fierro, Christopher L. Castro, Hsin-I Chang, Rodrigo Valdés-Pineda and Christoforus Bayu Risanto Evaluating Extreme Precipitation Forecasts using Convective-Permitting Modeling in Tarapacá Region, Chile abstract slides

  • 12:30-13:30 LUNCH

  • 13:30-14:15: Keynote 6 Kilometer-resolution climate modelling over the tropical and sub-tropical Atlantic

  • Chairs: Roy Rasmussen
    • Christopher Schär Kilometer-resolution climate modelling over the tropical and sub-tropical Atlantic abstract slides

    14:15-15:00 Session 3 Towards global convection-permitting modelling

    Chairs: Ruby L. Leung
    • 14:15-14:30 Lorenzo Tomassini, Martin Willett, Alistair Sellar, Adrian Lock, David Walters, Claudio Sanchez, Julian Heming, Charmaine Franklin and Catherine Senior Towards a convection-permitting global configuration of the Met Office Unified Model abstract slides
    • 14:30-14:45 Stefano Ubbiali, Till Ehrengruber, Enrique González Paredes, Nicolai Krieger, Christian Kühnlein, Lukas Papritz, Hannes Vogt and Heini Wernli Towards a Python-Based Performance-Portable Finite-Volume Dynamical Core for Numerical Weather Prediction abstract
    • 14:45-15:00 Hans Segura, Cathy Hohenegger, Christian Wengel and Bjorn Stevens Advantages of global storm resolving models in representing seasonal characteristics of tropical precipitation abstract slides


  • 16:00-16:45: Discussion Panel 7 What are some of the unique contributions that the CPM community can make to the next IPCC report?

  • Chairs: Alex Hall
    • Paola A. Arias The Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC: gaps and opportunities for the next cycle abstract slides
    • Alejandro Di Luca Convection-permitting models in IPCC reports: a parallel with Regional Climate Models? abstract

    16:45-17:30 Session 4 Event-based storyline approaches to climate change

    Chairs: Alex Hall
    • 16:45-17:00 Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga, Deniz Bozkurt and Roberto Rondanelli Sensitivity of convective precipitation to warming in the extratropical Andes abstract slides
    • 17:00-17:15 Chelsea Parker, Priscilla Mooney, Melinda Webster and Linette Boisvert Examining the Effect of Climate Change on Arctic Cyclone Behavior in a Regional Climate Framework abstract
    • 17:15-17:30 Hiroaki Kawase Contributions of CPM to evaluate the impact of historical warming on recent extreme events in Japan abstract



  • 20:00-22:00 'GALA DINNER'


  • Friday 9th



  • 9:00-10:00: Discussion Panel 8 CP and impact studies and policy making

  • Chairs: Anna Sörensson
    • Jason P. Evans Performing Convection Permitting simulations to address policy makers questions abstract slides
    • Silvina A. Solman Regional Information for Society (RIfS): a roadmap for policy-relevant climate research abstract slides
    • Monica Morrisson Making Modeling Responsive to Stakeholder Needs: Recommendations for Fruitful Coproduction abstract
    • Chris Lennard Developing capacity for southern countries to engage in convection permitting modelling abstract slides

    10:00-10:30 Session 5 Mechanisms of extreme events by using very high resolution model

    Chairs: Andreas Prein
    • 10:00-10:15 Erin M. Dougherty, Andreas F. Prein, Ethan D. Gutmann and Andrew J. Newman Future Mesoscale Convective System Rainfall Related to Changes in Convective and Stratiform Structure abstract
    • 10:15-10:30 J. Alejandro Martinez, Paola A. Arias, Francina Dominguez and Andreas F. Prein A Mesoscale Convective System over the tropical Andes: role of the Orinoco Low-level Jet and PBL schemes abstract slides

  • 10:30-11:00 COFFEE BREAK

  • 11:00-12:30 Session 6 South America coordinated scientific efforts

    Chairs: Lluís Fita

  • 12:30-13:30 LUNCH

  • 13:30-14:30 BREAKOUT GROUP

  • 14:30-15:00 COFFEE BREAK




  • End of conference

  • List of posters

    Session 1: The added value of convection-permitting climate simulations

    • P.1.1 Divyansh Chug, Francina Dominguez, Christopher Taylor, Cornelia Klein and TBD Morning Soil Moisture Heterogeneity is Strongly Linked to Daytime Convection over Subtropical South America abstract poster
    • P.1.2 Dave Rowell and Ségolène Berthou Fine-scale climate projections: What additional spatial detail is provided by a convection-permitting model? abstract poster
    • P.1.3 Weiran Liu, Paul Ullrich, Jianfeng Li, Colin Zarzycki, Peter Caldwell, Lai-yung Ruby Leung and Yun Qian The 2012 North American Derecho: A testbed for evaluating regional and global climate modeling systems at cloud-resolving scales abstract poster
    • P.1.4 Virginia Edith CORTES-HERNANDEZ, Philippe LUCAS-PICHER, Erwan BRISSON, Gilles BELLON, Cécile Caillaud and Antoinette Alias Investigating the added value of the Convection Permitting Model CNRM-AROME over the Island of Corsica abstract poster
    • P.1.5 Aude LEMONSU, Cécile Caillaud, Antoinette Alias, Yann SEITY, Sébastien RIETTE, Benjamin LE ROY, Yohanna MICHAU and Philippe LUCAS-PICHER What added value of CNRM-AROME convection-permitting regional climate model compared to CNRM-ALADIN regional climate model for urban climate studies ? Evaluation over Paris area (France) abstract poster Poster presentation
    • P.1.6 Michael Haller, Susanne Brienen, Harald Rybka, Stéphane Haussler, Jennifer Brauch and Barbara Früh Analyses of added value for heavy rain fall and strong wind in convection-permitting climate simulations over Germany abstract poster Poster presentation
    • P.1.7 Minh-Truong HA, Sophie Bastin, Philippe Drobinski, Lluís Fita, Olivier Bock and simulations providers Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation abstract poster
    • P.1.8 Silvina A. Solman and Martin Feijoó A preliminary assessment of convection-permitting simulations over southeastern South America performed with the WRF model abstract poster
    • P.1.9 Christopher L. Castro, Thang Luong, Christoforus Bayu Risanto, Hsin-I Chang and Ibrahim Hoteit Trends of convective event climatology in the Arabian Peninsula and forecast opportunity at S2S time scale abstract poster Poster presentation

    Session 2: Mechanisms of extreme events by using very high resolution model

    • P.2.1 Daniel Argüeso, R. Romero, V. Homar and Andreas F. Prein Changes in Mediterranean convective storms under climate change conditions abstract
    • P.2.2 Cécile Caillaud, Samuel Somot, Hervé Douville, Antoinette Alias and CORDEX FPS Convection team Fall Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events as seen by a large ensemble of CP-RCM future projections abstract poster
    • P.2.3 K. Santiago Hernández, Sebastián Gómez-Ríos, Juan J. Henao, Vanessa Robledo, Alvaro Ramírez, Jimmy Flórez, Sara Lourdy, David Ortega and Angela M. Rendón Mechanisms behind the occurrence of convective systems in Northwestern South America: results from a cloud-resolving simulation abstract poster
    • P.2.4 J.C. Camacho, J. Alejandro Martinez and Paola A. Arias Mesoscale Convective Systems in the Colombian Caribbean: Insights from ConvectionPermitting simulations abstract poster
    • P.2.5 Ségolène Berthou, Malcolm Roberts, Benoît Vannière and EUCP data providers Convection in future winter storms over Northern Europe abstract poster Poster presentation
    • P.2.6 Douglas Lima de Bem, Franciano Scremin Puhales and Allan Severo Finger Analysis of model WRF sensibility on extreme events in the mountains of Rio de Janeiro abstract
    • P.2.7 Daiana Martinez, Silvina A. Solman, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Jesús Fernández and Martin Feijoó Characterization of the thermodynamic environment of extreme precipitation events in southeastern South America abstract poster
    • P.2.8 Andreas F. Prein, Ming Ge, Alexandra Ramos Valle, Dié Wang and Scott Giangrande The Importance of Grid Spacing in Simulating Organized Convective Storms abstract poster

    Session 3: Event-based storyline approaches to climate change

    • P.3.1 Murilo Ruv Lemes, Gilvan Sampaio, Gilberto Fisch and Lincoln M. Alves The influence of in the moisture transport from the Amazon Forest to the South America continent abstract poster Poster presentation
    • P.3.2 Isabel C. Correa, Paola A. Arias and Sara C. Vieira The climatology of the Orinoco low-level jet in CMIP5/CMIP6 models abstract poster

    Session 4: South American high resolution modeling research activities

    • P.4.1 Jose Antonio Mantovani, Jose Antonio Aravequia and Gilberto Fisch ASSESSING PBL PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES PERFORMANCE OVER THE CENTRAL AMAZON BASIN DURING GOAMAZON2014/5 abstract poster
    • P.4.2 Kate Halladay, Ron Kahana, Ségolène Berthou and Elizabeth Kendon Convection-permitting climate simulations for South America: a land-surface perspective (with insights from Europe and Africa) abstract poster
    • P.4.3 Richard Bassett, Luis Garcia-Carreras, Douglas Lowe, Lincoln M. Alves, Gilberto Fisch, Kate Halladay, Ron Kahana and José Augusto Veiga Convective-Scale Impacts of Deforestation on Amazonian Rainfall (CIDAR) abstract
    • P.4.4 Luis Eduardo Muñoz, Lenin Campozano, Maylee Iza, Oscar Chimborazo and Luis Maisincho Evaluating the impact of WRF-3DVAR assimilation for weather forecasting in the Ander: The case of the Antisana glacier in Ecuador abstract poster
    • P.4.5 Laura Paccini and Bjorn Stevens Improved representation of Amazon precipitation by organized convection in storm-resolving simulations abstract poster
    • P.4.6 Alan G. Rosales, Clémentine Junquas, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Thomas Condom and Jhan Carlo Espinoza Effects of the regional-local circulation on precipitation development in the tropical Andes (Rio Santa Basin). abstract poster
    • P.4.7 Josipa Milovac, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi and Jesús Fernández New Leaf Area Index data for CORDEX FPS-SESA simulations abstract poster
    • P.4.8 Erin Potter An Evaluation of High-Resolution Model Simulation Variations of Orographic Precipitation and Snowpack in the Southern Andes abstract poster
    • P.4.9 Silvina A. Solman, María Laura Bettolli, D. Carneiro-Rodrigues, M. Doyle, Martin Feijoó, Jesús Fernández, M. Llopart, J. Milovac, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha and S. Vianna-Cuadra The CORDEX FPS-SESA Ensemble convection-permitting simulations: Achievements, challenges and future developments abstract
    • P.4.10 Rodrigo Valdés-Pineda, Christopher L. Castro, Hsin-I Chang, Lourdes Mendoza Fierro and Christoforus Bayu Risanto Developing a Real-Time Operational Short-range to Sub-seasonal Forecast System to Improve Planning and Mitigation Activities of Extreme Hydroclimatological Events in the Tarapacá Region, Chile abstract poster Poster presentation

    Session 6: Co-production of climate impact information based on convective permitting models and observations

    • P.6.1 Morgane Lalonde-Le Pajolec, Alexandre Dulac, Sophie Bastin and Ludovic Oudin Impact of urbanization on precipitation: a multi-site observation-modelization analysis over the United States of America. abstract
    • P.6.2 Sebastian K. Müller, Emanuela Pichelli, Erika Coppola, Segolene Berthou, Susanne Brienen, Cecile Caillaud, Marie-Estelle Demory, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann and Hylke de Vries The Climate Response of Heavy Precipitation Events over the Alps and in the Mediterranean abstract

    Session 7: Relation between climate modeling - impact studies - policy makers communities

    • P.7.1 Lincoln M. Alves, Kate Halladay, Ron Kahana and Robin Chadwick The need for Regional Climate Modelling for Brazil abstract poster
    • P.7.2 Lincoln M. Alves, Jose Augusto Veiga, Gilberto Fisch, Richard Bassett, Ron Kahana, Kate Halladay and Luis Garcia-Carreras Identifying end-user needs and opportunities provided by convection-permitting simulations in the Amazon Basin abstract poster
    • P.7.3 Moira Doyle, Gonzalo Díaz, María Laura Bettolli, Silvina A. Solman, Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, Marta Llopart, J. M. Gutierrez, Rocío Balmaceda Huarte, L Chavez and Josefina Blazquez Analysis of extreme hydrological events in the Uruguay River basin abstract poster
    • P.7.4 Daniela Araya-Osses, Celián Román-Figueroa, Donna Cortez, Jorge Soto and Manuel Paneque Effects of climate change on drought events on the Salar de Atacama abstract poster

    Session 8: Benefits of convection-permitting climate modeled data for impacts assessments and policy making

    • P.8.1 Yohanna MICHAU, Aude LEMONSU, Philippe LUCAS-PICHER and Cécile Caillaud Using a high-resolution regional climate model for studying urban climate evolution in cities of northwestern Europe abstract poster
    • P.8.2 Kwok Pan Chun, Pingyu Fan, Qing He, Omer Yetemen, Emir Toker, Yasemin Ezber and Omer Lutfi Sen Convection-Permitting Model Simulation based on Local Climate Zones (LCZs) for winter in Istanbul abstract poster Poster presentation
    • P.8.3 Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha, M. Llopart, María Laura Bettolli and S. Solman First assessment of long-term RegCM4 convection permitting simulations over the center-southeast of South America abstract

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